Posts Tagged ‘theory’

May 23 09 Stock Market Trends Technical Analysis

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

NASDAQ and FTSE still stuck at 200ma, next week should see a break in one direction. US$ continues to slide, 30 Year T bond yield rising. See my blog for a link to Colin Nicholsons newsletter and analysis of final phase of bear market.

Duration : 0:10:47

(more…)

July 19 09 Stock Market Trends Technical Analysis

Monday, April 5th, 2010

Stock Markets back ot June highs.

Duration : 0:8:55

(more…)

Aug 02 09 Stock Market Trends Technical Analysis

Saturday, March 27th, 2010

Weekend review of S&P, NASDAQ, FTSE, SSE, VIX, Bond yields, ASX.

Duration : 0:8:23

(more…)

July 09 09 Stock Market Trends Technical Analysis

Wednesday, March 24th, 2010

US stock markets trading down their 200 ma deviations. FTSE breaks down below 1000ma deviation support.

Duration : 0:10:53

(more…)

May 16 09 Stock Market Trends Technical Analysis

Sunday, March 21st, 2010

The trend is uncertain. Weekend review of S&P, NASDAQ, FTSE, ASX, SSE, US$. For daily chart updates checkout my blog.

Duration : 0:10:38

(more…)

6. Efficient Markets vs. Excess Volatility

Wednesday, October 28th, 2009

Financial Markets (ECON 252)

Several theories in finance relate to stock price analysis and prediction. The efficient markets hypothesis states that stock prices for publicly-traded companies reflect all available information. Prices adjust to new information instantaneously, so it is impossible to “beat the market.” Furthermore, the random walk theory asserts that changes in stock prices arise only from unanticipated new information, and so it is impossible to predict the direction of stock prices. Using statistical tools, we can attempt to test the hypotheses and to predict future stock prices. These tests show that efficient markets theory is a half-truth: it is difficult but not impossible for some people to beat the market.

Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website: http://open.yale.edu/courses

This course was recorded in Spring 2008.

Duration : 1:8:18

(more…)