Market

David Tice is one of the most highly respected investment professionals at the forefront of bear market investing for more than 20 years. David has appeared in virtually all financial media including Barrons, CNBC, Fox, Bloomberg and much more. He gained national recognition through articles he wrote for Barrons and as the subject of numerous business journal and television interviews beginning at the time when he was among just a handful of courageous people who dared to short the market. In this interview David discusses the U.S. stock market, U.S. Dollar, gold, silver, the Fed, bailouts, sentiment, the consumer, a coming funding crisis, threats to our freedoms, capital controls and much more.

BIO
David Tice – Chief Portfolio Strategist, Bear Markets

David W. Tice, Federateds chief portfolio strategist for bear markets, has been at the forefront of bear market investing for more than 20 years.

Mr. Tice has long taken the role of a Cassandra to warn investors about the dangers of investing near the end of a secular bull market and has debated nearly every bullish Wall Street strategist. He gained national recognition through articles he wrote for Barron’s and as the subject of numerous business journal and television interviews beginning at the time when he was among just a handful of courageous people who dared to short the market. Today he shares his views of the market and bear market investing approaches with both Federated investment personnel and clients alike.

Prior to his career as an investment manager and strategist, Mr. Tice held financial analyst positions with Atlantic Richfield Company and ENSERCH Corporation, a diversified energy company. He then joined Concorde Financial Corporation where he served as director of investments and was responsible for launching an equity mutual fund.

He launched his firm, David W. Tice & Associates, LLC, in 1988 to provide clients with hedging and sell discipline perspectives and recommendations through his “Behind the Numbers” publication and research service. This effort formed the origins of Federated Prudent Bear Fund in 1995 and Federated Prudent Global Income Fund in 2000.

Mr. Tice holds an undergraduate degree in accounting as well as an MBA from Texas Christian University. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst.

Duration : 0:10:36

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In recent years, a confluence of factors created a new reality in the world of equity trading. The emergence of ultra sophisticated electronic trading methods, simultaneously with stock exchanges converting to for-profit and the SEC’s Regulation NMS, have brought on an explosion in trading volume.

Compounded by flawed regulation and lax oversight, this new marketplace is dominated by tech savvy, secretive, predatory and highly profitable trading programs, exploiting traditional investors who are usually oblivious.

High frequency trading systems are proprietary computer programs whose automated algorithmic software initiates trades with the goal of collecting rebates from the exchanges and/or detecting institutional order flow, and then execute buy/sell orders ahead of that flow.

These programs are designed to automatically front run investors. They have an information advantage, and they unnecessarily increase volatility, cause retail and institutional investors to chase artificial prices, make markets less efficient and systematically transfer wealth away from ordinary investors.

They also have a huge market share, and thus often dominate the market and determine its direction. Their hidden cost adversely impacts the financial well-being of all of us.

Some very large and well known Wall Street institutions are involved in this practice. Ever wondered how Goldman Sachs is making so much money so soon after the financial system nearly collapsed? High-frequency trading is one answer: recall that Goldman Sachs recently sued a former employee for allegedly stealing certain trading software Goldman said is responsible for substantial trading profits.

Alan Schram is the Managing Partner of Wellcap Partners, a Los Angeles based investment firm. Email at aschram@wellcappartners.com

Duration : 0:5:41

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Today I look at some overbought conditions both on the RSI and MACD, and explain the significance in these embedded environments as we hit some extremely strong necktie resistances between two huge trendlines. While the 38.2% are very close, and people expect us to hit it, I believe the first push lower of either a reversal or consolidation might start as soon as early or late monday and will continue for more than one day. In this video I also look at the inverse H&S on the Dow and S&P that broke out and explain what the ramifications may be for a very strong red week. I also look at GS, AAPL, AMZN.

Duration : 0:11:0

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In todays market report Asian technology shares were up, cheered by Wall Street and strong earnings from U.S. peers.

Regional benchmarks mostly were flat to lower, but chip-related shares like Tokyo Electron gained after a bullish outlook from flash memory maker SanDisk.

Korean chipmakers like Samsung Electronics and Hynix Semiconductor rose, while in Taiwan PC-makers gained on Dell’s record quarterly net profit.

On the downside, Japanese automakers dipped on the stronger yen, despite news that General Motors would recall 1.3 million vehicles to fix a power steering problem

GM said the recall, coming in the wake of Toyota’s massive 8 million vehicle action, covers cars linked to 14 crashes and one injury.

Australia’s central bank hiked its cash rate by 25 basis points, flagging further hikes ahead after a strong economic recovery.

Duration : 0:1:4

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Today we step back and look at the last 3 days of trading as they have broken both the ascending wedge formation and the megaphone formation to the downside (both are very bearish patterns).

My guess is that we could have started a shorter-term and potentially a longer term top. I outline the channel that people should be eying and the type of trades that we should be looking at. I also look at our 2 short trades that have been working out nicely

Duration : 0:5:1

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Hey guys,
I have compiled a 3 part long video that not only talks about the SPY to its full extent but also about 8 different charts and how we’re suppose to read into this type of market. In this video I concentrate on the SPY. For the SPY I look at a potential move lower in early trading only to reverse and end up a little higher. I do believe that the H&S will eventually break but this might take another 4-5 days. I look at potential targets for the SPY as we move lower and where I believe shorting would be most desirable.

Duration : 0:9:43

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http://tinyurl.com/ChomskyCD
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http://representativepress.blogspot.com/2008/09/truth-about-wall-street-bailout.html
Presidential candidate Ralph Nader (subscribe to the Nader channel http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=votenader08 ) has a good video about the wall street bailout, I’ll play you a short clip and also a clip of Chomsky talking about capitalism in the real world .

Nader is right, the bailout is yet another example of socialism for the rich which has been the game that’s always been played.

I recommend this CD of Noam Chomsky talking at Harvard in 96.
Chomsky explains that the free market theory sold to the public is just a fantasy. He shows how in the real world, different rules apply to the rich. the rich make sure they have the nanny state to take care of themselves. We are being played for fools. Let’s get the word out. Send this link to others: http://Tinyurl.com/BailoutTruth
http://representativepress.blogspot.com/2008/09/truth-about-wall-street-bailout.html

Duration : 0:4:4

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More: http://linktv.org/globalpulse
(August 23, 2007) The collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the United States has led to stock market drops across the world. See the effect those investments have had on the European and Asian markets, reminding if of how connected we are in the global economy. But not just Wall Street is feeling the Squeeze; Main Street America is feeling the credit crunch as millions of Americans lose their homes or are unable to find loans even with excellent credit.
For more programs: http://www.linktv.org/originalseries

Duration : 0:4:20

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Today I look only at the SPY and VIX chart, but I forecast two potential scenarios in the market, that both lead to a higher (lower volume) ending day (0.5-1%) for tuesdays trade. The first is a small gap higher due to the amateurish action that happened in the last 20 minutes of trading and then a sustained low volume increase until the end of the day, potentially forming a doji green candle. The second is a continued sell off lower to hit the 88.20 level in which we will reverse mid day and end the day potentially flat or slightly positive. I hope you take my words of advice that I put out on this video because it is extremely important in order to become a good trader!

Duration : 0:10:20

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Friday’s trading day was a game changer, the last hour rally was not one of just a short squeeze before a weekend but one that showed that we are now trading in a triangle formation and we could potentially break to the upside. I, However, suggest people play the triangle formation before getting all that bullish. The reason i have more inclination to the bullish side is because a triangle formation after a rally is usually looked upon as consolidation and the next move is usually a breakout to the upside, once that happens the market can shoot to the 1030-1040, and that will probably be the end of Primary wave 2, before a new bear market begins.

Duration : 0:4:58

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