Part 2 – Options and Stock Market Technical Chart Analysis for September 15, 2009 by Idan Koren
Monday, November 9th, 2009
Today we look at how the market is forming a possible top and end to the rally for the short and short/medium terms. We see that many short ETFS are forming capitulation bottoms, and that many stocks are rallying beyond sustainable levels. With that in mind, we believe that one of the targets for this rally will form the last resistance, and we will begin at least a 20-25% consolidation. While we do have still a potential 1-3% more upside from here, going short today was smarter than going long. This market in the near term (1-2days) could consolidate once more, if not reverse. Our targets are 1053-1055, or 1067-1068 and finally 1088 (if it ever reaches it), based on fib retracement targets. In these videos we show you the Dow and how it hits resistance, the S&P and how that hits resistance of the wedge and horizontal price resistance. We show you individual stocks such as the USO, XLF, SRS, JPM, SPY, WYNN and MGM.
Duration : 0:5:1
Today I give an overview of the last day of the month and its importance to the shorter term plays. The bulls seem to stay in control in this market but then lose their grip when a close above resistance lines need to be made. The bears, put the minimal amount of effort required to close below strong resistance lines, and thus a more bearish sentiment should start forming pretty soon. A monthly candle close below 875 on the S&P definitely vows for the bears, although it doesn’t necessarily mean that there is no more upside from here. I explain my trades for the day, and give people a nice SRS options trade. I also look at the Dow Jones industrial chart, GS, XLF, SRS and SPY.
In this video, Idan goes on and on and on about what he believes will happen in the market as we move forward next decade. He also talks about the shorter term picture, and what we should be expecting in the days to come.
Today we look at the USO and UNG and try to decipher where they are headed and what possible trades could be on the table. We believe that the USO is the reason why the S&P remains up while other stocks have potentially topped already.
Today we look at some fibonacci targets for the markets. SPY has a target of between 109.10 and 109.70 whereas gold has already hit it’s target at around 104. I believe that in the very very near term, we will see GLD under perform SPY due to ti’s overbought status. We went ahead and placed a short gold and long SPY trade today. Short GLD at $104.40, and a Long SPY at $107.40. Our stop is a net credit of 0.25 cents for now, and will widen. We also look at JPM as we have to see financials get stronger in order for the market to push on ahead. Rememeber that we are in options expiration so today could be a crazy day, but if we break the SPY 50 SMA daily to the down side, and breakdown the wedge be VERY careful, this market is very susceptible to a crash.