Market

http://www.elliottwave.com/s.asp?url=/&cn=yt

Watch Robert Prechter on Bloomberg TV on the 20th anniversary of the 1987 stock market crash predict what is unfolding before our eyes today. An uncannily accurate forecast from the man that forecast the 1987 stock market crash.

Why would anyone think that the Fed’s actions have any influence whatsoever on the trend in the stock market?

The Fed has similarly cut the discount rate twice in recent months, and on all occasions (Sept. 18, Oct. 31, Jan. 22, Jan. 30) the stock market immediately rallied… only to see prices give back those gains and more, within a few short days or weeks.

Mind you, these are recent and relatively minor instances. There are longer-term examples that unfolded for years, such as the Fed’s historic campaign in 2001-2002 that saw a DOZEN rate cuts, during which time the S&P 500 lost HALF of its value.

More dramatic still was the Bank of Japan’s campaign that took rates to virtually ZERO for entire decade, even as their Nikkei stock index declined and/or languished over the entire period.

There’s nothing new about this information — we’ve spelled it all out before, as recently as Bob Prechter’s Nov. 27 and Jan. 24 appearances on Bloomberg television.

Watch Prechter on Nov. 27: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJnMia2rARI

With charts and facts, Bob showed how powerless the Fed really is; he also reminded the audience that “People should be careful of what they wish for when they ask for lower rates.”

Yes, the financial establishment labels Bob Prechter a contrarian. But, what does it say about that establishment’s state of mind when arguments based on facts and evidence make a person “contrary”?

All the charts Bob included in that interview — in fact, everything he said at the time and more — is in the current Elliott Wave Theorist and Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. See it all on your computer screen in minutes, via the fast link below.

http://www.elliottwave.com/s.asp?url=/&cn=yt

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In recent years, a confluence of factors created a new reality in the world of equity trading. The emergence of ultra sophisticated electronic trading methods, simultaneously with stock exchanges converting to for-profit and the SEC’s Regulation NMS, have brought on an explosion in trading volume.

Compounded by flawed regulation and lax oversight, this new marketplace is dominated by tech savvy, secretive, predatory and highly profitable trading programs, exploiting traditional investors who are usually oblivious.

High frequency trading systems are proprietary computer programs whose automated algorithmic software initiates trades with the goal of collecting rebates from the exchanges and/or detecting institutional order flow, and then execute buy/sell orders ahead of that flow.

These programs are designed to automatically front run investors. They have an information advantage, and they unnecessarily increase volatility, cause retail and institutional investors to chase artificial prices, make markets less efficient and systematically transfer wealth away from ordinary investors.

They also have a huge market share, and thus often dominate the market and determine its direction. Their hidden cost adversely impacts the financial well-being of all of us.

Some very large and well known Wall Street institutions are involved in this practice. Ever wondered how Goldman Sachs is making so much money so soon after the financial system nearly collapsed? High-frequency trading is one answer: recall that Goldman Sachs recently sued a former employee for allegedly stealing certain trading software Goldman said is responsible for substantial trading profits.

Alan Schram is the Managing Partner of Wellcap Partners, a Los Angeles based investment firm. Email at aschram@wellcappartners.com

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