Options and Stock Market Technical Analysis for August 14, 2009 by Idan Koren
Thursday, December 17th, 2009
Friday’s trading day was a game changer, the last hour rally was not one of just a short squeeze before a weekend but one that showed that we are now trading in a triangle formation and we could potentially break to the upside. I, However, suggest people play the triangle formation before getting all that bullish. The reason i have more inclination to the bullish side is because a triangle formation after a rally is usually looked upon as consolidation and the next move is usually a breakout to the upside, once that happens the market can shoot to the 1030-1040, and that will probably be the end of Primary wave 2, before a new bear market begins.
Duration : 0:4:58
Today we look at some fibonacci targets for the markets. SPY has a target of between 109.10 and 109.70 whereas gold has already hit it’s target at around 104. I believe that in the very very near term, we will see GLD under perform SPY due to ti’s overbought status. We went ahead and placed a short gold and long SPY trade today. Short GLD at $104.40, and a Long SPY at $107.40. Our stop is a net credit of 0.25 cents for now, and will widen. We also look at JPM as we have to see financials get stronger in order for the market to push on ahead. Rememeber that we are in options expiration so today could be a crazy day, but if we break the SPY 50 SMA daily to the down side, and breakdown the wedge be VERY careful, this market is very susceptible to a crash.