Stock Market Volatility Technical Analysis
Stock Market Volatility Technical Analysis
http://trade-technicals.blogspot.com
This video talks about the volatility that could come in the market showing some great charts for analysis to where we may be going. It looks like their is going to be some big selling come soon based on these charts.
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Duration : 0:12:27
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Tags: 1929, 2009, 2012, alphatrends, Analysis, bear, Brian, buffet, bull, business, calendar, cnbc, collapse, Cramer, crash, crisis, depression, dollar, economic, finance, Great, inthemoneystocks, Jim, Market, mayan, news, recession, Shannon, stock, Technical, upsidetrader, volatility, warren
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
When selling …
When selling happens, the panic sets in to the point where there is more selling. This doesn’t usually happen to the upside, other than on turning points for the bear market. Washouts have them quite often.
However, the last few months have been low volume during the rally in comparison to the months of early /09 and late /08.
This means a high volume day can indicate possible reversal.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
inflation.
That …
inflation.
That should indicate commods going higher, but a pull back is due at any time. Just watch the message of the market and whatever it says go with it.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
so can you …
so can you generalize to say high volume is an indication of selling or is it not as simple as that. thanks
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Yeah I see what …
Yeah I see what your saying about other fundamentals, I wasnt including them on purpose I just wanted to get a picture of what the true “natural” ratio within the earth is of gold to silver, taking the stats from one mining company is not comprehensive but it gives a general feel maybe.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Your chart from a …
Your chart from a few days ago where you talk about gold doesn’t come thru’, hence only 2 comments. Please tell us what you reckon is going to happen with gold this summer and at the end of 2009.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
correct. But the …
correct. But the calculation is complex
1) Demand! I see gold going lower and silver going higher. Both in demand! In fact I see this as silver having demand for solar panels amongst many other great things.
Therefore $73 would be increased and some math person may say what I would believe to be the area of $820 – $110 type of ratio.
Then if Gold was $5K using that ratio and 6x higher then silver would be approaching $700.
This is the type of math I have been thinking lately
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Trying to work out …
Trying to work out the correct ratio of silver to gold I thought id go directly to the source (the miners)
Rio Tintos website states
total gold and silver production ‘000 ounces (as at December 31 2008)
Gold – 804
Silver – 10428
Therefore would I be correct to do silver diveded by the gold gives us real silver to gold ratio.
which equals 13:1
Gold is at $955 / 13 = real silver price
$73…. lovely
Think that’s correct :/
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
It has been one …
It has been one of a rally. I agree there is going to be a wash out, I dont think it will be as brutal as last year
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
it does have …
it does have canadian stocks like XIU, XFN, HXU etc.
only thing is it does not work live and you can only use the daily term time frame and later.
It is a few hours delayed for the data to come after 4pm EST also.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
luv your videos. U …
luv your videos. U are so clear in exlpaining them that it’s amazing. U should teach (unless u already do).
Too bad bestfreecharts doesn’t load canadian stocks.
Or at least the version I have doesn’t.
cheers
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
its not a surprise …
its not a surprise high volume brings the market down like we seen on the final quarter of 08.
the rally since march has came on light volume.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Thank you Derek … …
Thank you Derek ….. much appreciated.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
excellent! glad …
excellent! glad I’m a subscriber!
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
raise the interest …
raise the interest will make economic recovery difficult and political suicide for Obama. unlikely choice for him. he will continue to pump in more capital and lower the interest rate to try to restart the economy. remember, we’re already in recession and unemployment is high.
as u stated, raise the interest rate to curb inflation and strengthen the dollar but that will crash the economy.
so take your pick. tough choice!
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Is there a way of …
Is there a way of relating volatility to volume ?
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
Brilliant!!
Brilliant!!
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
I think your right. …
I think your right. Govt. intervention comes in many forms.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
I’m speculating on …
I’m speculating on the continuation of the rally until june 24 when the FED meets and might raise interest rates to curb inflation and strengthen the dollar. What will follow is the 2nd selloff.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
I love your charts, …
I love your charts, the best analysis on the net…
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
thank you for …
thank you for fundamentals. Mixing funds and techs is the way to predict the market the easiest. They may have no choice but to manipulate it down if those trend lines hold and break like they say they easily could based on techs
Look at the 3 year chart. The end of the year Volatility dips at the bottom like that every year at the christmas holidays. funds mixed with techs some how.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
do it with GOLD as …
do it with GOLD as the denominator
April 8th, 2010 at 11:37 am
volatility is cause …
volatility is cause mainly by government quantitative easing and manipulation.